Steve Kornacki, a political analyst for MSNBC, explained on Tuesday how President Joe Biden’s support rating could result in disastrous election outcomes for Dems.
“The president’s job approval rating, as we often say, is typically the most accurate predictor of how the midterm elections will turn out. Not good news for Democrats. Joe Biden has a 42.7% approval rating,” Kornacki informed anchor Joy Reid. “Put this into perspective with current presidents running for office for the first time. With regard to the harsh midterm elections for Trump, Obama, and Bill Clinton, Biden is at the same level.”
Kornacki stated, “The single exception in modern times was George W. Bush, a year after 9/11.You can see what this means: Trump lost the house in 2018; Obama lost the party in 2010, and Clinton lost the house in 1994. The number of people who like Biden is roughly average. That is bad news for Dems.”
RealClearPolitics reports that Biden has an average job approval rating of 42.7% and that his management of the economy, inflation, crime, and immigration has resulted in double-digit net disapproval.
“What’s made this a little more tricky, though, is that when you look at the generic ballot when you ask the people who they would prefer to see control Congress next year, Republicans or Democrats, the Republicans have the lead on average on this question,” the author said. “By a single point. Up until the past week or two, Dems held the lead,” according to Kornacki. “However, if you look at the most recent rounds of midterm elections—2018, 2014, 2010, and 2006—you’ll see that they were all wave elections, and the party that prevailed them was ahead of the competition by more than a point at this time. As a result, the generic ballot is closer than in former wave elections.”
